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Performance of our Model Portfolios  

http://funds-newsletter.com
CopyrightŠ 1999-2008
Tom Madell, Ph.D.
Last revision: Apr 15, 2008

   

Our Results (Updated Apr 2008)

Each quarter, we send our subscribers our new Model Portfolio recommendations. We have been doing this since Jan. 2000.

Then, starting one year after each quarter's recommendations are made, we show how you would have done if you had held a similar portfolio.

As you will see below, our Stock Fund category recommendations have regularly beaten the S&P 500 Index for holding periods of 1, 3, and 5 years. For one year holding periods, the outperformance has averaged close to 4%. For those holding our recommendations for 3 or 5 years, the outperformance has proven even greater. In fact, after 5 years, you would have earned over 5% more than the S&P 500 Index for EACH YEAR the portfolio was held. That's over 25% more cumulatively.

Since 2000, 27 out of 30 quarterly portfolios have wound up ahead of the Index after 1 year's time. And, as you can see, after 3 and 5 years, every single quarterly portfolio since 2000 has beaten the Index!

For example, as of Sept 30, 2007, the S&P 500 returned 15.5% per year over the prior 5 years, for a cumulative return of 77.5%. Over the same period, our stock fund portfolio recommendations made 5 years earlier (2002 4th qtr.) returned 6.8% more per year, as shown below in bold, for an average return of 22.3% per year. This is a cumulative return of 111.5% vs. the Index's 77.5%

Yearly Outperformance of Stock Fund Portfolio Over S&P 500 Index
Year (Qtr.) 1 yr later 3 yrs. later 5 yrs. later
2000 1 +4.68% +4.04% +4.63%
2000 2 +6.22% +2.70% +4.27%
2000 3 +6.67% +3.65% +4.41%
2000 4 +7.01% +5.35% +5.43%
2001 1 +6.29% +6.03% +5.85%
2001 2 +4.73% +5.17% +5.43%
2001 3 +9.43% +4.54% +5.26%
2001 4 +8.10% +4.96% +4.05%
2002 1 +4.18% +4.87% +4.53%
2002 2 +1.98% +5.30% +5.60%
2002 3 -3.34% +2.91% +5.10%
2002 4 +0.30% +8.90% +6.80%
2003 1 +8.22% +6.49% +5.95%
2003 2 +8.26% +8.25% +5.45%
2003 3 +4.87% +5.22%  
2003 4 +2.90% +3.61%  
2004 1 +3.09% +2.45%  
2004 2 +1.83% +2.73%  
2004 3 +3.15% +3.57%  
2004 4 +5.76% +3.12%  
2005 1 +3.64% +2.31%  
2005 2 +5.96% +1.84%  
2005 3 +5.45%    
2005 4 +0.60%    
2006 1 -0.34%    
2006 2 -0.80%    
2006 3 +1.96%    
2006 4 +2.50%    
2007 1 +3.54%    
2007 2 +0.71%    

 

Average
Outperform-
ance Per Year
During the
Period
1 year
+3.92%
3 year
+4.46%
5 year
+5.20%

Similar outperformance results have been shown for our Bond fund category recommendations.

Although we can't guarantee we will be able to continue outperforming by such large amounts every year, the trend of our results over the last 8 years is overwhelmingly strong.

Note: If your mutual fund investments performed better than the above results from our recommendations over the last nearly 8 years, then, of course, it makes perfect sense to pass on the opportunity to subscribe to this site's current free quarterly recommendations. Otherwise, why not subscribe?

The possibility of improving your results by considering our quarterly recommendations is a choice, and an outcome that only you can make happen by taking the step to request our Newsletter's latest recommendations.


 

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